Málaga CF crestMálaga CFvsDD
Deportivo de A Coruña crestDeportivo de A CoruñaFinal 1–1·Predicted 1-0·Pick Málaga CF win
Miss- CF
- 44%
- Draw
- 28%
- Coruña
- 28%
- xG home
- 1.32
- xG away
- 0.99
- Over 2.5
- 41%
- BTTS
- 46%
la-v1.1.0-elo
Match pageSpain · la-v1.1.0-elo · Round 2
La Liga round 2 results
La Liga round 2 has 10 scored matches on Expected90. Favourite-correct is 40%; exact score hits 1. Favourites that did not land: Málaga CF vs Deportivo de A Coruña; Osasuna vs Levante UD; Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal; Valencia vs Celta Vigo; Athletic Club vs Sevilla; Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alavés. Original probabilities stay on each match URL.
Ledger updated 30 Aug 2026, 12:39 UTC
La Liga round 2 prediction results
Expected90 La Liga round 2 prediction results: 10 scored matches, favourite-correct 40%, exact score hits 1. Predicted score vs final score for every fixture. Over 2.5 and BTTS are Yes/No leans at 50%. We still prefer log loss.
- Matches in view
- 10
- Favourite-correct
- 40%
- Game pick hit rate
- 40%
- Exact score hits
- 1
Previous: round 1All La Liga resultsNext: round 3
Málaga CF crestMálaga CFvsDDDeportivo de A Coruña crestDeportivo de A Coruña
Osasuna crestOsasunavsL
Levante UD crestLevante UDFinal 0–0·Predicted 2-1·Pick Osasuna win
Miss- Osasuna
- 44%
- Draw
- 27%
- UD
- 29%
- xG home
- 1.41
- xG away
- 1.10
- Over 2.5
- 46%
- BTTS
- 50%
la-v1.1.0-elo
Match page
Elche crestElchevsB
FC Barcelona crestFC BarcelonaFinal 0–5·Predicted 1-2·Pick FC Barcelona win
Hit- Elche
- 21%
- Draw
- 24%
- Barcelona
- 54%
- xG home
- 0.94
- xG away
- 1.65
- Over 2.5
- 48%
- BTTS
- 49%
la-v1.1.0-elo
Match page
Getafe crestGetafevsRR
Real Racing Club crestReal Racing ClubFinal 1–0·Predicted 1-1·Pick Under 2.5
Hit- Getafe
- 39%
- Draw
- 31%
- Club
- 30%
- xG home
- 1.04
- xG away
- 0.88
- Over 2.5
- 30%
- BTTS
- 38%
la-v1.1.0-elo
Match page
Atlético Madrid crestAtlético MadridvsV
Villarreal crestVillarrealFinal 2–2·Predicted 2-1·Pick Atlético Madrid win
Miss- Madrid
- 41%
- Draw
- 26%
- Villarreal
- 33%
- xG home
- 1.41
- xG away
- 1.25
- Over 2.5
- 50%
- BTTS
- 54%
la-v1.1.0-elo
Match page
Espanyol crestEspanyolvsRM
Real Madrid crestReal MadridFinal 1–2·Predicted 1-2·Pick Real Madrid win
Hit- Espanyol
- 21%
- Draw
- 24%
- Madrid
- 55%
- xG home
- 0.95
- xG away
- 1.70
- Over 2.5
- 49%
- BTTS
- 50%
la-v1.1.0-elo
Match page
Valencia crestValenciavsCV
Celta Vigo crestCelta VigoFinal 0–0·Predicted 2-1·Pick Valencia win
Miss- Valencia
- 48%
- Draw
- 27%
- Vigo
- 25%
- xG home
- 1.44
- xG away
- 0.95
- Over 2.5
- 43%
- BTTS
- 47%
la-v1.1.0-elo
Match page
Athletic Club crestAthletic ClubvsS
Sevilla crestSevillaFinal 1–3·Predicted 2-1·Pick Athletic Club win
Miss- Club
- 49%
- Draw
- 26%
- Sevilla
- 25%
- xG home
- 1.47
- xG away
- 0.98
- Over 2.5
- 45%
- BTTS
- 48%
la-v1.1.0-elo
Match page
Real Betis crestReal BetisvsRS
Real Sociedad crestReal SociedadFinal 1–0·Predicted 2-1·Pick Real Betis win
Hit- Betis
- 56%
- Draw
- 24%
- Sociedad
- 21%
- xG home
- 1.74
- xG away
- 0.97
- Over 2.5
- 51%
- BTTS
- 51%
la-v1.1.0-elo
Match page
Rayo Vallecano crestRayo VallecanovsDA
Deportivo Alavés crestDeportivo AlavésFinal 1–1·Predicted 2-1·Pick Rayo Vallecano win
Miss- Vallecano
- 51%
- Draw
- 26%
- Alavés
- 23%
- xG home
- 1.54
- xG away
- 0.94
- Over 2.5
- 45%
- BTTS
- 48%
la-v1.1.0-elo
Match pageLa Liga round 2 questions
How did Expected90 do in La Liga round 2?
10 matches are scored. Favourite-correct is 40% and 1 exact scores hit. That is a small sample; log loss on the frozen 909-match set is the better quality number.
Where are the La Liga round 2 match pages?
Each fixture below links to its original prediction URL. Probabilities were stored before kick-off and are not rewritten.
Can I see other La Liga rounds?
Yes. Scored rounds on this ledger: round 1, round 2, round 3.
la-v1.1.0-elo
La Liga
Validation
2023/24–2025/26, PRELINEUP, walk-forward
- Matches
- 1140
- Log loss
- 0.9732
- RPS
- 0.1944
- ECE
- 0.0260
- 1X2 accuracy
- 53%
- Goal MAE
- 0.85
Frozen official baseline la-v1.1.0-elo. 0.5316 is 1X2 accuracy of the favourite, not Brier. Log loss and RPS are the metrics we optimize. The reliability diagram is favourite probability vs how often that favourite won.
Live season 2026/27 · round 3
- Matches scored
- 25
- Log loss
- 0.9765
- RPS
- 0.1896
- 1X2 accuracy
- 52%
- Goal MAE
- 0.88
Live sample only. Publish even when noisy.