Liga Portugal predictions

Match-by-match Liga Portugal forecasts from a Dixon-Coles goals model with Elo features. Every published number is stored before kick-off.

Portugal. Model v1.4.0-elo-span16. Official site: ligaportugal.pt.

5 upcoming Liga Portugal forecasts in the ledger, covering round 9. Looking for Liga Portugal predictions today? See today’s fixtures · Liga Portugal Elo table. Historical forecasts stay on this hub so every published number remains crawlable.

Académico Viseu FC Benfica Casa Pia CD Nacional CF Estrela Amadora CS Marítimo Estoril Praia Famalicão FC Alverca FC Arouca FC Porto Gil Vicente Moreirense Rio Ave Santa Clara Sporting Braga Sporting CP Vitória SC

Upcoming

Round 95 matches

Liga Portugal · Round 9Fri 23 Oct, 20:45 Lisbon

Vitória SCvsCS Marítimo

Clear lean

Vitória SC win61%

SC: 61%
Draw: 26%
Marítimo: 14%

xG home: 1.89
xG away: 0.82
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 9Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 Lisbon

Santa ClaravsBenfica

Clear lean

Benfica win58%

Clara: 15%
Draw: 27%
Benfica: 58%

xG home: 0.87
xG away: 1.85
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 51%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 9Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 Lisbon

CF Estrela AmadoravsCasa Pia

Slight lean

CF Estrela Amadora win45%

Amadora: 45%
Draw: 32%
Pia: 23%

xG home: 1.42
xG away: 0.98
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 50%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 9Sat 24 Oct, 18:00 Lisbon

FC AlvercavsFC Arouca

Balanced

FC Alverca win35%

Alverca: 35%
Draw: 33%
Arouca: 32%

xG home: 1.22
xG away: 1.15
Over 2.5: 42%
BTTS: 51%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 9Sat 24 Oct, 20:30 Lisbon

Gil VicentevsFC Porto

Clear lean

FC Porto win55%

Vicente: 17%
Draw: 28%
Porto: 55%

xG home: 0.90
xG away: 1.75
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 51%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Historical predictions

Liga Portugal · Round 5Sun 6 Sept, 20:30 Lisbon

Gil VicentevsAcadémico Viseu FC

Final 0–1·Gil Vicente win 62%

Miss

Vicente: 62%
Draw: 26%
FC: 12%

xG home: 1.88
xG away: 0.74
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 47%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 5Sun 6 Sept, 18:00 Lisbon

Vitória SCvsCasa Pia

Final 0–0·Vitória SC win 58%

Miss

SC: 58%
Draw: 28%
Pia: 14%

xG home: 1.74
xG away: 0.79
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 47%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 5Sun 6 Sept, 15:30 Lisbon

Santa ClaravsRio Ave

Final 4–0·Santa Clara win 51%

Hit

Clara: 51%
Draw: 30%
Ave: 19%

xG home: 1.55
xG away: 0.87
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 48%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 5Sat 5 Sept, 20:30 Lisbon

Sporting CPvsCD Nacional

Final 2–0·Sporting CP win 79%

Hit

CP: 79%
Draw: 15%
Nacional: 5%

xG home: 2.68
xG away: 0.64
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 45%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 5Sat 5 Sept, 18:00 Lisbon

FC AlvercavsSporting Braga

Final 1–2·Sporting Braga win 43%

Hit

Alverca: 23%
Draw: 34%
Braga: 43%

xG home: 0.89
xG away: 1.28
Over 2.5: 37%
BTTS: 45%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 5Sat 5 Sept, 18:00 Lisbon

CS MarítimovsBenfica

Final 0–3·Benfica win 70%

Hit

Marítimo: 9%
Draw: 21%
Benfica: 70%

xG home: 0.76
xG away: 2.28
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 49%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 5Sat 5 Sept, 15:30 Lisbon

CF Estrela AmadoravsFamalicão

Final 2–2·Famalicão win 41%

Miss

Amadora: 26%
Draw: 32%
Famalicão: 41%

xG home: 1.03
xG away: 1.34
Over 2.5: 42%
BTTS: 50%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 5Fri 4 Sept, 20:15 Lisbon

FC PortovsMoreirense

Final 2–1·FC Porto win 83%

Hit

Porto: 83%
Draw: 14%
Moreirense: 4%

xG home: 2.77
xG away: 0.53
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 40%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 4Mon 31 Aug, 20:15 Lisbon

Sporting BragavsVitória SC

Final 1–0·Sporting Braga win 39%

Hit

Braga: 39%
Draw: 32%
SC: 29%

xG home: 1.37
xG away: 1.17
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 54%

v1.1.0-p1-elo

Liga Portugal · Round 4Mon 31 Aug, 20:15 Lisbon

BenficavsEstoril Praia

Final 2–1·Benfica win 86%

Hit

Benfica: 86%
Draw: 11%
Praia: 3%

xG home: 3.18
xG away: 0.58
Over 2.5: 73%
BTTS: 43%

v1.1.0-p1-elo

Liga Portugal · Round 4Sun 30 Aug, 20:30 Lisbon

FamalicãovsGil Vicente

Final 0–0·Famalicão win 46%

Miss

Famalicão: 46%
Draw: 30%
Vicente: 24%

xG home: 1.49
xG away: 1.04
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 52%

v1.1.0-p1-elo

Liga Portugal · Round 4Sun 30 Aug, 18:00 Lisbon

Casa PiavsMoreirense

Final 0–1·Casa Pia win 34%

Miss

Pia: 34%
Draw: 33%
Moreirense: 33%

xG home: 1.17
xG away: 1.14
Over 2.5: 41%
BTTS: 49%

v1.1.0-p1-elo

Liga Portugal prediction questions

Where can I find Liga Portugal predictions today?: Upcoming Liga Portugal fixtures are listed first on this hub, with a dedicated today view at /football-predictions/today. Each match has its own URL with xG, 1X2, Over 2.5 and BTTS.
How does Expected90 predict Liga Portugal matches?: Liga Portugal forecasts use expected goals as Poisson means, a Dixon-Coles adjustment for low scores, and Elo team strength. Home/draw/away, Over 2.5 and BTTS are summed from one score grid.
Are Liga Portugal predictions betting tips?: No. These are probabilities, timestamped before kick-off. Misses stay on the page. There is no odds CTA.
Can I check yesterday’s Liga Portugal prediction?: Yes. Historical forecasts remain on this hub and on each match URL, with the original probabilities and the final score.