Balanced
Athletic Club win38%
- UD
- 36%
- Draw
- 26%
- Club
- 38%
- xG home
- 1.30
- xG away
- 1.34
- Over 2.5
- 49%
- BTTS
- 54%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
La Liga predictions
Match-by-match La Liga forecasts from a Dixon-Coles goals model with Elo features. Frozen baseline la-v1.4.0-elo-span16; every published number is stored before kick-off.
Spain. Model la-v1.4.0-elo-span16. Official site: laliga.com.
5 upcoming La Liga forecasts in the ledger, covering rounds 6 and 9. Looking for La Liga predictions today? See today’s fixtures · La Liga Elo table. Historical forecasts stay on this hub so every published number remains crawlable.
Athletic ClubAtlético MadridCelta VigoDeportivo AlavésDeportivo de A CoruñaElcheEspanyolFC BarcelonaGetafeLevante UDMálaga CFOsasunaRayo VallecanoReal BetisReal MadridReal Racing ClubReal SociedadSevillaValenciaVillarreal
Upcoming
Round 61 match
Match page
Round 94 matches
Slight lean
Real Sociedad win44%
- CF
- 29%
- Draw
- 27%
- Sociedad
- 44%
- xG home
- 1.07
- xG away
- 1.40
- Over 2.5
- 45%
- BTTS
- 49%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Slight lean
Celta Vigo win45%
- Vigo
- 45%
- Draw
- 27%
- Alavés
- 28%
- xG home
- 1.38
- xG away
- 1.02
- Over 2.5
- 43%
- BTTS
- 48%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Strong favourite
Real Madrid win76%
Open game- Madrid
- 76%
- Draw
- 15%
- Sevilla
- 9%
- xG home
- 2.67
- xG away
- 0.84
- Over 2.5
- 68%
- BTTS
- 53%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Balanced
Getafe win38%
- Getafe
- 38%
- Draw
- 29%
- Vallecano
- 34%
- xG home
- 1.16
- xG away
- 1.08
- Over 2.5
- 39%
- BTTS
- 45%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Historical predictions
Final 2–0·Osasuna win 56%
Hit- Osasuna
- 56%
- Draw
- 22%
- Club
- 21%
- xG home
- 1.89
- xG away
- 1.08
- Over 2.5
- 57%
- BTTS
- 56%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Final 0–0·Athletic Club win 41%
Miss- Valencia
- 31%
- Draw
- 27%
- Club
- 41%
- xG home
- 1.10
- xG away
- 1.30
- Over 2.5
- 43%
- BTTS
- 49%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Final 2–5·FC Barcelona win 61%
Hit- Betis
- 20%
- Draw
- 20%
- Barcelona
- 61%
- xG home
- 1.22
- xG away
- 2.26
- Over 2.5
- 67%
- BTTS
- 63%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Final 0–0·Villarreal win 76%
Miss- Villarreal
- 76%
- Draw
- 14%
- Elche
- 10%
- xG home
- 2.81
- xG away
- 0.97
- Over 2.5
- 73%
- BTTS
- 58%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Final 0–1·Atlético Madrid win 49%
Hit- Espanyol
- 25%
- Draw
- 25%
- Madrid
- 49%
- xG home
- 1.03
- xG away
- 1.55
- Over 2.5
- 48%
- BTTS
- 51%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Final 1–1·Deportivo de A Coruña win 46%
Miss- Coruña
- 46%
- Draw
- 26%
- UD
- 29%
- xG home
- 1.51
- xG away
- 1.14
- Over 2.5
- 49%
- BTTS
- 53%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Final 2–3·Draw 48%
Miss- Valencia
- 26%
- Draw
- 48%
- Sociedad
- 26%
- xG home
- 0.48
- xG away
- 0.47
- Over 2.5
- 7%
- BTTS
- 15%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Final 3–1·Villarreal win 61%
Hit- Villarreal
- 61%
- Draw
- 21%
- UD
- 18%
- xG home
- 2.10
- xG away
- 1.04
- Over 2.5
- 61%
- BTTS
- 57%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Final 1–1·Real Betis win 50%
Miss- Coruña
- 24%
- Draw
- 26%
- Betis
- 50%
- xG home
- 1.02
- xG away
- 1.57
- Over 2.5
- 48%
- BTTS
- 51%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Final 2–1·Real Madrid win 45%
Miss- Madrid
- 31%
- Draw
- 24%
- Madrid
- 45%
- xG home
- 1.32
- xG away
- 1.64
- Over 2.5
- 57%
- BTTS
- 59%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Final 1–0·Getafe win 50%
Hit- Getafe
- 50%
- Draw
- 29%
- CF
- 22%
- xG home
- 1.35
- xG away
- 0.79
- Over 2.5
- 36%
- BTTS
- 41%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Final 1–3·FC Barcelona win 70%
Hit- Sevilla
- 11%
- Draw
- 19%
- Barcelona
- 70%
- xG home
- 0.76
- xG away
- 2.20
- Over 2.5
- 57%
- BTTS
- 47%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
La Liga prediction questions
- Where can I find La Liga predictions today?
- Upcoming La Liga fixtures are listed first on this hub, with a dedicated today view at /football-predictions/today. Each match has its own URL with xG, 1X2, Over 2.5 and BTTS.
- How does Expected90 predict La Liga matches?
- La Liga forecasts use expected goals as Poisson means, a Dixon-Coles adjustment for low scores, and Elo team strength. Home/draw/away, Over 2.5 and BTTS are summed from one score grid.
- Are La Liga predictions betting tips?
- No. These are probabilities, timestamped before kick-off. Misses stay on the page. There is no odds CTA.
- Can I check yesterday’s La Liga prediction?
- Yes. Historical forecasts remain on this hub and on each match URL, with the original probabilities and the final score.