Terms of use

Read the forecasts as probabilities. Do not treat a match URL as a tip, a guarantee, or financial advice.

Expected90 publishes probabilistic football forecasts based on statistical models. Predictions are not certainties.

Expected90 publishes statistical forecasts for football matches. A 70% favourite is still expected to fail in a large minority of similar games. Live rounds can look noisy. That is why we keep the original numbers after kick-off.

Nothing on this site is an invitation to bet, an odds product, or a claim that you should stake money. Fair odds on a match page, when they appear, are 1/p versus a listed snapshot. There is no betting CTA.

Kick-off times are shown in Europe/Lisbon. Model versions and freeze timestamps sit on each match URL. The methodology and results pages explain how the numbers are made and scored.

You may link to Expected90 pages. Do not scrape the site in a way that degrades the service for other readers. The public JSON and RSS feeds exist so machines do not have to hammer HTML.

Questions: hello@expected90.com.