Liga Portugal predictions

Match-by-match Liga Portugal forecasts from a Dixon-Coles goals model with Elo features. Every published number is stored before kick-off.

Portugal. Model v1.4.0-elo-span16. Official site: ligaportugal.pt.

6 upcoming Liga Portugal forecasts in the ledger, covering rounds 2 and 9. Looking for Liga Portugal predictions today? See today’s fixtures · Liga Portugal Elo table. Historical forecasts stay on this hub so every published number remains crawlable.

Académico Viseu FC Benfica Casa Pia CD Nacional CF Estrela Amadora CS Marítimo Estoril Praia Famalicão FC Alverca FC Arouca FC Porto Gil Vicente Moreirense Rio Ave Santa Clara Sporting Braga Sporting CP Vitória SC

Upcoming

Round 21 match

Liga Portugal · Round 2Mon 19 Oct, 20:15 Lisbon

Sporting BragavsGil Vicente

Slight lean

Sporting Braga win44%

Braga: 44%
Draw: 32%
Vicente: 24%

xG home: 1.42
xG away: 0.99
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 50%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Round 95 matches

Liga Portugal · Round 9Fri 23 Oct, 20:45 Lisbon

Vitória SCvsCS Marítimo

Clear lean

Vitória SC win61%

SC: 61%
Draw: 26%
Marítimo: 14%

xG home: 1.89
xG away: 0.82
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 9Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 Lisbon

CF Estrela AmadoravsCasa Pia

Slight lean

CF Estrela Amadora win45%

Amadora: 45%
Draw: 32%
Pia: 23%

xG home: 1.42
xG away: 0.98
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 50%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 9Sat 24 Oct, 18:00 Lisbon

FC AlvercavsFC Arouca

Balanced

FC Alverca win35%

Alverca: 35%
Draw: 33%
Arouca: 32%

xG home: 1.22
xG away: 1.15
Over 2.5: 42%
BTTS: 51%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 9Sat 24 Oct, 20:30 Lisbon

Gil VicentevsFC Porto

Clear lean

FC Porto win55%

Vicente: 17%
Draw: 28%
Porto: 55%

xG home: 0.90
xG away: 1.75
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 51%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 9Sun 25 Oct, 15:30 Lisbon

Estoril PraiavsMoreirense

Slight lean

Estoril Praia win44%

Praia: 44%
Draw: 32%
Moreirense: 24%

xG home: 1.41
xG away: 0.99
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 50%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Historical predictions

Liga Portugal · Round 7Sun 20 Sept, 20:30 Lisbon

FC PortovsBenfica

Final 3–1·Benfica win 39%

Miss

Porto: 31%
Draw: 30%
Benfica: 39%

xG home: 1.28
xG away: 1.47
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 58%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 7Sun 20 Sept, 18:00 Lisbon

Santa ClaravsSporting Braga

Final 0–0·Santa Clara win 35%

Miss

Clara: 35%
Draw: 33%
Braga: 33%

xG home: 1.23
xG away: 1.19
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 52%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 7Sun 20 Sept, 18:00 Lisbon

Estoril PraiavsCasa Pia

Final 1–2·Estoril Praia win 46%

Miss

Praia: 46%
Draw: 32%
Pia: 22%

xG home: 1.44
xG away: 0.94
Over 2.5: 42%
BTTS: 49%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 7Sun 20 Sept, 15:30 Lisbon

CF Estrela AmadoravsAcadémico Viseu FC

Final 0–2·CF Estrela Amadora win 53%

Miss

Amadora: 53%
Draw: 29%
FC: 18%

xG home: 1.64
xG away: 0.88
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 50%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 7Sun 20 Sept, 15:30 Lisbon

Vitória SCvsMoreirense

Final 1–1·Vitória SC win 64%

Miss

SC: 64%
Draw: 25%
Moreirense: 11%

xG home: 1.94
xG away: 0.72
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 46%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 7Sat 19 Sept, 20:30 Lisbon

Sporting CPvsFC Arouca

Final 2–2·Sporting CP win 76%

Miss

CP: 76%
Draw: 18%
Arouca: 6%

xG home: 2.48
xG away: 0.65
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 45%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 7Sat 19 Sept, 18:00 Lisbon

FC AlvercavsRio Ave

Final 1–0·FC Alverca win 43%

Hit

Alverca: 43%
Draw: 32%
Ave: 25%

xG home: 1.37
xG away: 1.01
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 50%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 7Sat 19 Sept, 15:30 Lisbon

CD NacionalvsFamalicão

Final 0–4·Famalicão win 55%

Hit

Nacional: 18%
Draw: 27%
Famalicão: 55%

xG home: 0.98
xG away: 1.84
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 55%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 7Sat 19 Sept, 15:30 Lisbon

Gil VicentevsCS Marítimo

Final 1–1·Gil Vicente win 51%

Miss

Vicente: 51%
Draw: 30%
Marítimo: 19%

xG home: 1.60
xG away: 0.93
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 51%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 6Mon 14 Sept, 20:45 Lisbon

Sporting BragavsEstoril Praia

Final 1–0·Sporting Braga win 55%

Hit

Braga: 55%
Draw: 28%
Praia: 17%

xG home: 1.68
xG away: 0.85
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 49%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 6Mon 14 Sept, 20:15 Lisbon

MoreirensevsCS Marítimo

Final 3–1·CS Marítimo win 41%

Miss

Moreirense: 28%
Draw: 32%
Marítimo: 41%

xG home: 1.09
xG away: 1.36
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 52%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal · Round 6Mon 14 Sept, 18:45 Lisbon

Rio AvevsCF Estrela Amadora

Final 3–3·CF Estrela Amadora win 39%

Miss

Ave: 29%
Draw: 32%
Amadora: 39%

xG home: 1.11
xG away: 1.34
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 52%

v1.4.0-elo-span16

Liga Portugal prediction questions

Where can I find Liga Portugal predictions today?: Upcoming Liga Portugal fixtures are listed first on this hub, with a dedicated today view at /football-predictions/today. Each match has its own URL with xG, 1X2, Over 2.5 and BTTS.
How does Expected90 predict Liga Portugal matches?: Liga Portugal forecasts use expected goals as Poisson means, a Dixon-Coles adjustment for low scores, and Elo team strength. Home/draw/away, Over 2.5 and BTTS are summed from one score grid.
Are Liga Portugal predictions betting tips?: No. These are probabilities, timestamped before kick-off. Misses stay on the page. There is no odds CTA.
Can I check yesterday’s Liga Portugal prediction?: Yes. Historical forecasts remain on this hub and on each match URL, with the original probabilities and the final score.