Strong favourite
Real Madrid win72%
Open game- Madrid
- 72%
- Draw
- 17%
- Sevilla
- 11%
- xG home
- 2.45
- xG away
- 0.89
- Over 2.5
- 65%
- BTTS
- 54%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Real Madrid predictions
Real Madrid predictions on Expected90 cover every published La Liga fixture. Next up: home against Sevilla, with a 72% win probability and expected goals 2.45–0.89.
- Published matches
- 8
- Elo
- 1736
- Favourite-correct
- 71%
Avg xG for 2.37 · against 0.92 · La Liga Elo table
Next: Real Madrid vs Sevilla · . Open the match page.
Elo history
League Elo over the last two seasons. Ratings update only from finished league matches.
Latest 1736 · 20 points shown
Fixture congestion
Days since the last league match and the next three league fixtures. Cup and European dates are not included yet.
- Days since last match
- 7.9
- Next three
- vs SevillaLa Liga ·
- @ FC BarcelonaLa Liga ·
- @ Real Racing ClubLa Liga ·
Home vs Villarreal ·
Unavailable players
Current missing and doubtful list from the latest league fixture briefing, with expected return dates when SofaScore publishes them.
Vinícius Júnior
suspended · F · red card suspension
Expected
Raúl Asencio
out · D · Leg Injury
Expected
Rodrygo
out · F · Cruciate Ligament Injury
Expected
Upcoming Real Madrid matches
Match page
Past Real Madrid predictions
Final 2–1·Real Madrid win 45%
Miss- Madrid
- 31%
- Draw
- 24%
- Madrid
- 45%
- xG home
- 1.32
- xG away
- 1.64
- Over 2.5
- 57%
- BTTS
- 59%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Final 2–3·Real Madrid win 71%
Hit- Elche
- 11%
- Draw
- 18%
- Madrid
- 71%
- xG home
- 0.78
- xG away
- 2.29
- Over 2.5
- 59%
- BTTS
- 49%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Final 4–1·Real Madrid win 77%
Hit- Madrid
- 77%
- Draw
- 14%
- Vallecano
- 9%
- xG home
- 2.81
- xG away
- 0.88
- Over 2.5
- 71%
- BTTS
- 55%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Final 1–0·Real Madrid win 53%
Miss- Betis
- 23%
- Draw
- 24%
- Madrid
- 53%
- xG home
- 1.10
- xG away
- 1.78
- Over 2.5
- 55%
- BTTS
- 56%
la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Final 4–0·Real Madrid win 91%
Hit- Madrid
- 91%
- Draw
- 7%
- CF
- 3%
- xG home
- 3.72
- xG away
- 0.60
- Over 2.5
- 81%
- BTTS
- 44%
la-v1.1.0-elo
Final 4–1·Real Madrid win 77%
Hit- Madrid
- 77%
- Draw
- 15%
- Sociedad
- 8%
- xG home
- 2.65
- xG away
- 0.78
- Over 2.5
- 66%
- BTTS
- 50%
la-v1.1.0-elo
Final 1–2·Real Madrid win 55%
Hit- Espanyol
- 21%
- Draw
- 24%
- Madrid
- 55%
- xG home
- 0.95
- xG away
- 1.70
- Over 2.5
- 49%
- BTTS
- 50%
la-v1.1.0-elo
About Real Madrid forecasts
- Where are Real Madrid predictions?
- Every published Real Madrid forecast lives on this page and on each match URL. The next fixture is Real Madrid vs Sevilla.
- How does Expected90 rate Real Madrid?
- Real Madrid is rank 2 in the La Liga Elo table (1736). In the next match the model gives Real Madrid a 72% win probability, with fixture xG 2.45–0.89.
- Can I see past Real Madrid predictions?
- Yes. Scored Real Madrid matches stay on this hub with the original probabilities and the final score. Forecasts are not rewritten after kick-off.