Who is favourite for Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis?

The verdict is Slight lean. Highest 1X2 is Real Betis win at 43%. Home 31%, draw 26%, away 43%. That is a share of similar matches, not a guaranteed result.

What is the most likely score for Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis?

1–2 is the published prediction at 9%, aligned with the 1X2 pick. The highest single cell is 1–1 at 13%. Other nearby scores still take a large slice of the grid.

Will Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis go over 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 50% from the same Poisson grid as 1X2. The model leans under 2.5, but the other side remains live.

Both teams to score in Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis?

BTTS is 54%. The grid leans toward both teams scoring.

Are these betting tips?

No. Expected90 publishes model probabilities and tracks them after kick-off. Fair odds on a match page are 1 / probability compared with a listed book snapshot. Disagreement labels are gated by walk-forward 1X2 ECE. That is not a tip, and there is no odds CTA.

La Liga · Round 7 · 2026/27

Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis prediction

Slight lean

Real Betis win 43%

Sun 20 Sept, 17:30 Lisbon · Estadio Riazor

Published 14 Sept 2026, 02:10 UTC · not rewritten after kick-off

Deportivo de A CoruñavsReal Betis

Slight lean

Real Betis win43%

Deportivo de A Coruña win: 31%
Draw: 26%
Real Betis win: 43%

Prediction: 1–2
Expected goals: 1.20–1.47
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 54%

Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score are summed from the same scoreline matrix as 1X2. They are not separate guesses.

Why this forecast

1Slight lean: Real Betis win 43%, from a -178 Elo gap (1416 vs 1594).
2Expected goals 1.20-1.47.
3Prediction 1–2 (9%), the score published with the 1X2 pick. Grid peak is 1–1 at 13%.
4Aitor Ruibal listed out.

Match briefing

Elo: 1416
-178
1594
La Liga table
Out: Deportivo de A CoruñaNone out
No listed absences
Real Betis1 out
Aitor Ruibal
XI: Last league XI
4-1-3-2/4-2-3-1
Last 5: Deportivo de A Coruña
DWWDD
Avg xG 0.92-1.30
Real Betis
WLWWW
Avg xG 1.27-2.25

Top scorelines

Share of the same grid. Longer bar is more likely.

111Modal12.6%
2019.8%
312Prediction9.0%
4107.9%
5027.5%

Score grid

Home goals down the side, away across. Lime is more likely. The solid ring is the grid peak; the dashed ring is the prediction 1–2, published with the 1X2 pick.

Scoreline probabilities for Deportivo de A Coruña versus Real Betis
Deportivo de A Coruña goals	0	1	2	3
0	7%	10%	7%	4%
1	8%	13%	9%	4%
2	5%	7%	5%	3%
3		3%	2%
4
5

Away goals 0-5 across the top. Cells are a share of every possible score, not just this crop.

Fair odds

Model prices are 1 / probability. A listed 1X2 snapshot, overround removed. Snapshot 14 Sept 2026, 17:08 UTC. This is not a betting tip.

1X2

Deportivo de A Coruña win

Fair

3.27

31% model

Listed

2.84

33% book

Draw

Fair

3.79

26% model

Listed

3.25

29% book

Real Betis win

Disagrees

Fair

2.33

43% model

Listed

2.42

39% book

The model disagrees with the listed Real Betis win price (small). That is a reading of the numbers, not a recommendation.

Over 2.5 and BTTS use the same conversion. Disagreement labels apply to 1X2 only, where walk-forward ECE is scored.

Over 2.5

Fair: 2.00
Listed: 2.00

Under 2.5

Fair: 2.00
Listed: 1.81

BTTS

BTTS yes

Fair: 1.84
Listed: 1.75

BTTS no

Fair: 2.19
Listed: 1.98

Injuries and suspensions

SofaScore missing list for this fixture. Doubtful players are listed separately from those ruled out.

Deportivo de A CoruñaNone out

No listed absences.

Real Betis1 out

Aitor RuibalOutMeniscus Injury

Starting XI

Last league XI

Last completed league eleven, used until this fixture's lineup is posted.

Deportivo de A Coruña

4-1-3-2

Real Betis

4-2-3-1

Last five league matches

Finished games strictly before this forecast's cutoff, with xG for and against.

Deportivo de A Coruña

DWWDD

11GetafeAway · 13 Sept 2026
xG 0.88–0.70
32VillarrealAway · 5 Sept 2026
xG 0.83–1.20
31ValenciaHome · 30 Aug 2026
xG 1.42–1.40
11Málaga CFAway · 24 Aug 2026
xG 1.12–1.95
11ElcheHome · 17 Aug 2026
xG 0.34–1.23

Real Betis

WLWWW

10Real MadridHome · 4 Sept 2026
xG 0.93–3.46
25Levante UDAway · 29 Aug 2026
xG 1.92–2.76
10ValenciaAway · 25 Aug 2026
xG 0.71–1.12
10Real SociedadHome · 21 Aug 2026
xG 1.24–1.36
21Levante UDHome · 23 May 2026
xG 1.57–2.53

How to read the Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis probabilities

Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis (La Liga, 20 Sept 2026): Slight lean. Real Betis win 43%. Expected goals are 1.20–1.47. Prediction 1–2 (9%), the score published with the 1X2 pick. Grid peak is 1–1 at 13%. The score grid leans under 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

Real Betis holds a modest expected-goals edge (1.20–1.47). That shows up as Real Betis win at 43%, not a lock.

The published prediction is 1–2 at 9%, the most likely scoreline that still agrees with the 1X2 pick. The grid peak is 1–1 at 13%. Nearby cells share the rest of the probability, which is normal in football.

Over 2.5 is 50%, close to a coin flip from this score matrix. BTTS is 54%, near even.

Expected90 publishes probabilistic football forecasts based on statistical models. Predictions are not certainties.

Model record

Prediction timestamp: 14 Sept 2026, 02:10 UTC
After kick-off: Not rewritten
Model version: la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Verdict: Slight lean · Real Betis win
Kick-off: Sun 20 Sept, 17:30 Lisbon

Methodology

Questions about Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis

Who is favourite for Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis?: The verdict is Slight lean. Highest 1X2 is Real Betis win at 43%. Home 31%, draw 26%, away 43%. That is a share of similar matches, not a guaranteed result.
What is the most likely score for Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis?: 1–2 is the published prediction at 9%, aligned with the 1X2 pick. The highest single cell is 1–1 at 13%. Other nearby scores still take a large slice of the grid.
Will Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis go over 2.5 goals?: Over 2.5 is 50% from the same Poisson grid as 1X2. The model leans under 2.5, but the other side remains live.
Both teams to score in Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis?: BTTS is 54%. The grid leans toward both teams scoring.
Are these betting tips?: No. Expected90 publishes model probabilities and tracks them after kick-off. Fair odds on a match page are 1 / probability compared with a listed book snapshot. Disagreement labels are gated by walk-forward 1X2 ECE. That is not a tip, and there is no odds CTA.