Who is favourite for Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis?

The verdict is Slight lean. Highest 1X2 is Real Betis win at 50%. Home 24%, draw 26%, away 50%. That is a share of similar matches, not a guaranteed result.

What is the most likely score for Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis?

1–2 is the published prediction at 9%, aligned with the 1X2 pick. The highest single cell is 1–1 at 12%. Other nearby scores still take a large slice of the grid.

Will Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis go over 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 48% from the same Poisson grid as 1X2. The model leans under 2.5, but the other side remains live.

Both teams to score in Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis?

BTTS is 51%. The grid leans toward both teams scoring.

Are these betting tips?

No. Expected90 publishes model probabilities and tracks them after kick-off. Fair odds on a match page are 1 / probability compared with a listed book snapshot. Disagreement labels are gated by walk-forward 1X2 ECE. That is not a tip, and there is no odds CTA.

La Liga · Round 7 · 2627.0

Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis prediction

Slight lean

Real Betis win 50%

Sun 20 Sept, 17:30 Lisbon · Estadio Riazor

Published 20 Sept 2026, 14:07 UTC · not rewritten after kick-off

Full timeRound 7 · 2/4 checks hit

Deportivo de A Coruña

1–1

Draw

Real Betis

1X2

Real Betis win

50%Miss

Verdict

Slight lean

Prediction 1–2 · score miss · grid peak 1–1

1X2 favourite

Miss

Predicted Real Betis win · 50%

Actual Draw

Prediction

Miss

Predicted 1–2

Actual 1–1

Over 2.5

Hit

Predicted Under

Actual Under · 2 goals

BTTS

Hit

Predicted Yes

Actual Yes

Hit means the pre-match favourite (or the Over 2.5 / BTTS lean at 50%+) matched the result. Prediction is the published scoreline that sits with that 1X2 pick, not always the grid peak. The numbers above were stored before kick-off and are not edited afterwards.

Deportivo de A CoruñavsReal Betis

Slight lean

Real Betis win50%

Deportivo de A Coruña win: 24%
Draw: 26%
Real Betis win: 50%

Prediction: 1–2
Expected goals: 1.02–1.57
Over 2.5: 48%
BTTS: 51%

Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score are summed from the same scoreline matrix as 1X2. They are not separate guesses.

Why this forecast

1Slight lean: Real Betis win 50%, from a -199 Elo gap (1408 vs 1607).
2Expected goals 1.02-1.57.
3Prediction 1–2 (9%), the score published with the 1X2 pick. Grid peak is 1–1 at 12%.
4Angeliño suspended and one other absence.

Match briefing

Elo: 1408
-199
1607
La Liga table
Out: Deportivo de A Coruña1 out
AngeliñoSuspended
Real Betis1 out
Diego Llorente
XI: Expected XI
7 changes from the expected XI
4-4-2/4-3-3
Last 5: Deportivo de A Coruña
LDWWD
Avg xG 0.88-1.20
Real Betis
WWWLW
Avg xG 1.72-1.91

Top scorelines

Share of the same grid. Longer bar is more likely.

111ModalResult12.1%
20111.7%
312Prediction9.4%
4029.3%
5007.6%

Score grid

Home goals down the side, away across. Lime is more likely. The solid ring is the grid peak; the dashed ring is the prediction 1–2, published with the 1X2 pick.

Scoreline probabilities for Deportivo de A Coruña versus Real Betis
Deportivo de A Coruña goals	0	1	2	3
0	8%	12%	9%	5%
1	7%	12%	9%	5%
2	4%	6%	5%	3%
3		2%
4
5

Away goals 0-5 across the top. Cells are a share of every possible score, not just this crop.

Fair odds

Model prices are 1 / probability. Listed prices are one OddsPortal closing 1X2 listing, vig removed. Only a closing line is available for this match — no pre-kick-off snapshot was captured. Snapshot 23 Oct 2026, 05:51 UTC. This is not a betting tip.

1X2

Deportivo de A Coruña win

Fair

4.11

24% model

Listed

3.95

25% book

Draw

Fair

3.92

26% model

Listed

3.95

25% book

Real Betis win

Fair

1.99

50% model

Listed

1.98

50% book

Closing 1X2 · OddsPortal listing · single source · vig removed · captured 5 weeks after kick-off

The model does not disagree with this price beyond calibration noise.

Over 2.5 and BTTS use the same conversion. Disagreement labels apply to 1X2 only, where walk-forward ECE is scored.

Over 2.5

Fair: 2.09
Listed: 1.72

Under 2.5

Fair: 1.92
Listed: 2.20

BTTS

BTTS yes

Fair: 1.97
Listed: 1.58

BTTS no

Fair: 2.03
Listed: 2.30

18+. Probabilities are not betting advice. If gambling stops being fun: begambleaware.org · jogoresponsavel.pt · stodlinjen.se · joueurs-info-service.fr

Injuries and suspensions

SofaScore missing list for this fixture. Doubtful players are listed separately from those ruled out.

Deportivo de A Coruña1 out

AngeliñoSuspendedred card suspension

Real Betis1 out

Diego LlorenteOutMuscle Injury

XI used for this forecast (expected, 20 Sept 2026, 14:07 UTC)

Expected XI

The expected elevens the model used at the freeze. SofaScore's confirmed XI is below for comparison.

Deportivo de A Coruña

Real Betis

Confirmed XIConfirmed7 changes from the expected XI

SofaScore's posted elevens. Marked players differ from the expected XI above; the forecast numbers were frozen before this XI was known and are not rewritten.

Deportivo de A Coruña

4-4-2

Real Betis

4-3-3

Last five league matches

Finished games strictly before this forecast's cutoff, with xG for and against.

Deportivo de A Coruña

LDWWD

01SevillaHome · 16 Sept 2026
xG 0.14–0.73
11GetafeAway · 13 Sept 2026
xG 0.88–0.70
32VillarrealAway · 5 Sept 2026
xG 0.83–1.20
31ValenciaHome · 30 Aug 2026
xG 1.42–1.40
11Málaga CFAway · 24 Aug 2026
xG 1.12–1.95

Real Betis

WWWLW

10GetafeHome · 17 Sept 2026
xG 1.53–0.32
21VillarrealAway · 14 Sept 2026
xG 3.52–1.89
10Real MadridHome · 4 Sept 2026
xG 0.93–3.46
25Levante UDAway · 29 Aug 2026
xG 1.92–2.76
10ValenciaAway · 25 Aug 2026
xG 0.71–1.12

How to read the Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis probabilities

Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis (La Liga, 20 Sept 2026): Slight lean. Real Betis win 50%. Expected goals are 1.02–1.57. Prediction 1–2 (9%), the score published with the 1X2 pick. Grid peak is 1–1 at 12%. The score grid leans under 2.5 goals and both teams to score. Final score: 1–1.

Real Betis holds a modest expected-goals edge (1.02–1.57). That shows up as Real Betis win at 50%, not a certainty.

The published prediction is 1–2 at 9%, the most likely scoreline that still agrees with the 1X2 pick. The grid peak is 1–1 at 12%. Nearby cells share the rest of the probability, which is normal in football.

Over 2.5 is 48%, close to a coin flip from this score matrix. BTTS is 51%, near even.

Expected90 publishes probabilistic football forecasts based on statistical models. Predictions are not certainties.

Model record

Prediction timestamp: 20 Sept 2026, 14:07 UTC
After kick-off: Not rewritten
Model version: la-v1.4.0-elo-span16
Verdict: Slight lean · Real Betis win
Kick-off: Sun 20 Sept, 17:30 Lisbon

Methodology

Questions about Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis

Who is favourite for Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis?: The verdict is Slight lean. Highest 1X2 is Real Betis win at 50%. Home 24%, draw 26%, away 50%. That is a share of similar matches, not a guaranteed result.
What is the most likely score for Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis?: 1–2 is the published prediction at 9%, aligned with the 1X2 pick. The highest single cell is 1–1 at 12%. Other nearby scores still take a large slice of the grid.
Will Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis go over 2.5 goals?: Over 2.5 is 48% from the same Poisson grid as 1X2. The model leans under 2.5, but the other side remains live.
Both teams to score in Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis?: BTTS is 51%. The grid leans toward both teams scoring.
Are these betting tips?: No. Expected90 publishes model probabilities and tracks them after kick-off. Fair odds on a match page are 1 / probability compared with a listed book snapshot. Disagreement labels are gated by walk-forward 1X2 ECE. That is not a tip, and there is no odds CTA.