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England · pl-v1.1.0-elo · Round 2

Premier League round 2 results

Premier League round 2 has 5 scored matches on Expected90. Favourite-correct is 20%; exact score hits 0. Favourites that did not land: Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United; Bournemouth vs Everton; Coventry City vs Hull City; Liverpool FC vs Nottingham Forest. Original probabilities stay on each match URL.

Ledger updated 30 Aug 2026, 12:39 UTC

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Premier League round 2 prediction results

Expected90 Premier League round 2 prediction results: 5 scored matches, favourite-correct 20%, exact score hits 0. Predicted score vs final score for every fixture. Over 2.5 and BTTS are Yes/No leans at 50%. We still prefer log loss.

Matches in view
5
Favourite-correct
20%
Game pick hit rate
20%
Exact score hits
0

Premier League predictions

Premier League round 2 questions

How did Expected90 do in Premier League round 2?

5 matches are scored. Favourite-correct is 20% and 0 exact scores hit. That is a small sample; log loss on the frozen 909-match set is the better quality number.

Where are the Premier League round 2 match pages?

Each fixture below links to its original prediction URL. Probabilities were stored before kick-off and are not rewritten.

Can I see other Premier League rounds?

Yes. Scored rounds on this ledger: round 2.

pl-v1.1.0-elo

Premier League

Validation

2023/24–2025/26, PRELINEUP, walk-forward

Matches
1140
Log loss
0.9796
RPS
0.1997
ECE
0.0326
1X2 accuracy
54%
Goal MAE
0.94

Frozen official baseline pl-v1.1.0-elo. 0.5421 is 1X2 accuracy of the favourite, not Brier. Log loss and RPS are the metrics we optimize. The reliability diagram is favourite probability vs how often that favourite won.

Live season 2026/27 · round 2

Matches scored
5
Log loss
1.1137
RPS
0.2101
1X2 accuracy
20%
Goal MAE
0.72

Live sample only. Several strong favourites can draw in a single round. These numbers will move; they are not a claim about long-run quality.