Final 2–0·Juventus win 59%
Miss- Genoa
- 18%
- Draw
- 23%
- Juventus
- 59%
- xG home
- 0.89
- xG away
- 1.79
- Over 2.5
- 50%
- BTTS
- 49%
sa-v1.1.0-elo
Serie A predictions
Explore upcoming Serie A matches with win probabilities, expected goals, and predicted scorelines. Every forecast is recorded before kick-off so it can be checked against the result.
Upcoming
No upcoming Serie A kick-offs in the public ledger. Upcoming Serie A fixtures appear here once they are exported from the ledger.
No upcoming Serie A forecasts in the public ledger yet. Explore the Serie A Elo rankings · Serie A predictions today · Scored Serie A results.
Historical predictions
Match page
Final 1–4·SSC Napoli win 60%
Hit- Monza
- 19%
- Draw
- 22%
- Napoli
- 60%
- xG home
- 1.03
- xG away
- 1.99
- Over 2.5
- 58%
- BTTS
- 56%
sa-v1.1.0-elo
Final 0–0·Parma win 41%
Miss- Parma
- 41%
- Draw
- 27%
- Udinese
- 32%
- xG home
- 1.36
- xG away
- 1.18
- Over 2.5
- 47%
- BTTS
- 52%
sa-v1.1.0-elo
Final 2–4·AC Milan win 60%
Miss- Milan
- 60%
- Draw
- 23%
- Bologna
- 17%
- xG home
- 1.88
- xG away
- 0.90
- Over 2.5
- 53%
- BTTS
- 51%
sa-v1.1.0-elo
Final 0–2·Inter win 82%
Hit- Venezia
- 6%
- Draw
- 12%
- Inter
- 82%
- xG home
- 0.71
- xG away
- 2.94
- Over 2.5
- 71%
- BTTS
- 48%
sa-v1.1.0-elo
Final 4–2·AS Roma win 68%
Hit- Roma
- 68%
- Draw
- 20%
- Cagliari
- 12%
- xG home
- 2.09
- xG away
- 0.74
- Over 2.5
- 54%
- BTTS
- 46%
sa-v1.1.0-elo
Final 1–3·Como win 51%
Hit- Torino
- 24%
- Draw
- 25%
- Como
- 51%
- xG home
- 1.06
- xG away
- 1.66
- Over 2.5
- 51%
- BTTS
- 53%
sa-v1.1.0-elo
Final 2–6·Lazio win 40%
Hit- Sassuolo
- 33%
- Draw
- 27%
- Lazio
- 40%
- xG home
- 1.22
- xG away
- 1.39
- Over 2.5
- 48%
- BTTS
- 53%
sa-v1.1.0-elo
Final 0–2·AC Milan win 54%
Hit- Udinese
- 21%
- Draw
- 25%
- Milan
- 54%
- xG home
- 0.97
- xG away
- 1.68
- Over 2.5
- 49%
- BTTS
- 51%
sa-v1.1.0-elo
Final 0–2·Juventus win 68%
Hit- Lecce
- 13%
- Draw
- 19%
- Juventus
- 68%
- xG home
- 0.87
- xG away
- 2.22
- Over 2.5
- 60%
- BTTS
- 52%
sa-v1.1.0-elo
Final 4–4·Atalanta win 49%
Miss- Atalanta
- 49%
- Draw
- 25%
- Frosinone
- 25%
- xG home
- 1.60
- xG away
- 1.07
- Over 2.5
- 50%
- BTTS
- 53%
sa-v1.1.0-elo
Final 1–0·Genoa win 48%
Hit- Genoa
- 48%
- Draw
- 27%
- Venezia
- 26%
- xG home
- 1.49
- xG away
- 1.02
- Over 2.5
- 46%
- BTTS
- 50%
sa-v1.1.0-elo
How these forecasts are made
Serie A probabilities come from expected goals, a score grid, and Elo team strength. Model sa-v1.1.0-elo. The method is on the methodology page. A played match keeps the forecast that was published before kick-off. Official competition site: legaseriea.it.
Serie A clubs
Serie A prediction questions
- Where can I find Serie A predictions today?
- Upcoming Serie A fixtures are listed first on this hub, with a dedicated today view at /football-predictions/today. Each match has its own URL with xG, 1X2, Over 2.5 and BTTS.
- How does Expected90 predict Serie A matches?
- Serie A forecasts use expected goals as Poisson means, a Dixon-Coles adjustment for low scores, and Elo team strength. Home/draw/away, Over 2.5 and BTTS are summed from one score grid.
- Are Serie A predictions betting tips?
- No. These are probabilities, timestamped before kick-off. Misses stay on the page. There is no odds CTA.
- Can I check yesterday’s Serie A prediction?
- Yes. Historical forecasts remain on this hub and on each match URL, with the original probabilities and the final score.