Who is favourite for IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg?

The verdict is Slight lean. Highest 1X2 is IFK Göteborg win at 43%. Home 33%, draw 24%, away 43%. That is a share of similar matches, not a guaranteed result.

What is the most likely score for IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg?

1–2 is the published prediction at 9%, aligned with the 1X2 pick. The highest single cell is 1–1 at 11%. Other nearby scores still take a large slice of the grid.

Will IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg go over 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 57% from the same Poisson grid as 1X2. The model leans over 2.5, but the other side remains live.

Both teams to score in IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg?

BTTS is 59%. The grid leans toward both teams scoring.

Are these betting tips?

No. Expected90 publishes model probabilities and tracks them after kick-off. Fair odds on a match page are 1 / probability compared with a listed book snapshot. Disagreement labels are gated by walk-forward 1X2 ECE. That is not a tip, and there is no odds CTA.

Allsvenskan · Round 22 · 2627.0

IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg prediction

Slight lean

IFK Göteborg win 43%

Sat 19 Sept, 14:00 Lisbon · Grimsta IP

Published 17 Sept 2026, 07:20 UTC · not rewritten after kick-off

Full timeRound 22 · 1/4 checks hit

IF Brommapojkarna

0–1

IFK Göteborg won

IFK Göteborg

1X2

IFK Göteborg win

43%Hit

Verdict

Slight lean

Prediction 1–2 · score miss · grid peak 1–1

1X2 favourite

Hit

Predicted IFK Göteborg win · 43%

Actual IFK Göteborg won

Prediction

Miss

Predicted 1–2

Actual 0–1

Over 2.5

Miss

Predicted Over

Actual Under · 1 goals

BTTS

Miss

Predicted Yes

Actual No

Hit means the pre-match favourite (or the Over 2.5 / BTTS lean at 50%+) matched the result. Prediction is the published scoreline that sits with that 1X2 pick, not always the grid peak. The numbers above were stored before kick-off and are not edited afterwards.

IF BrommapojkarnavsIFK Göteborg

Slight lean

IFK Göteborg win43%

IF Brommapojkarna win: 33%
Draw: 24%
IFK Göteborg win: 43%

Prediction: 1–2
Expected goals: 1.37–1.60
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 59%

Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score are summed from the same scoreline matrix as 1X2. They are not separate guesses.

Why this forecast

1Slight lean: IFK Göteborg win 43%, from a -72 Elo gap (1467 vs 1539).
2Expected goals 1.37-1.60.
3Prediction 1–2 (9%), the score published with the 1X2 pick. Grid peak is 1–1 at 11%.
4Oliver Berg listed out and 4 other absences.

Match briefing

Elo: 1467
-72
1539
Allsvenskan table
Out: IF Brommapojkarna1 out
Oliver Berg
IFK Göteborg4 out
Adam Bergmark Wiberg
Arbnor Mucolli
August Erlingmark
+1 more
XI: Expected XI
6 changes from the expected XI
4-4-2/4-2-3-1
Last 5: IF Brommapojkarna
LWLWW
Avg xG 1.82-1.67
IFK Göteborg
WWWDL
Avg xG 1.81-1.28

Top scorelines

Share of the same grid. Longer bar is more likely.

111Modal11.1%
212Prediction9.0%
301Result8.3%
4217.7%
5107.2%

Score grid

Home goals down the side, away across. Lime is more likely. The solid ring is the grid peak; the dashed ring is the prediction 1–2, published with the 1X2 pick.

Scoreline probabilities for IF Brommapojkarna versus IFK Göteborg
IF Brommapojkarna goals	0	1	2	3
0	5%	8%	7%	3%
1	7%	11%	9%	5%
2	5%	8%	6%	3%
3	2%	4%	3%
4
5

Away goals 0-5 across the top. Cells are a share of every possible score, not just this crop.

Fair odds

Model prices are 1 / probability. Listed prices are one OddsPortal closing 1X2 listing, vig removed. Only a closing line is available for this match — no pre-kick-off snapshot was captured. Snapshot 23 Oct 2026, 06:47 UTC. This is not a betting tip.

1X2

IF Brommapojkarna win

Fair

3.02

33% model

Listed

2.85

34% book

Draw

Fair

4.16

24% model

Listed

3.70

26% book

IFK Göteborg win

Fair

2.33

43% model

Listed

2.50

39% book

Closing 1X2 · OddsPortal listing · single source · vig removed · captured 5 weeks after kick-off

The model does not disagree with this price beyond calibration noise.

Over 2.5 and BTTS use the same conversion. Disagreement labels apply to 1X2 only, where walk-forward ECE is scored.

Over 2.5

Fair: 1.75
Listed: 1.75

Under 2.5

Fair: 2.33
Listed: 2.18

BTTS

BTTS yes

Fair: 1.68
Listed: 1.52

BTTS no

Fair: 2.46
Listed: 2.30

18+. Probabilities are not betting advice. If gambling stops being fun: begambleaware.org · jogoresponsavel.pt · stodlinjen.se · joueurs-info-service.fr

Injuries and suspensions

SofaScore missing list for this fixture. Doubtful players are listed separately from those ruled out.

IF Brommapojkarna1 out

Oliver BergOutUnknown

IFK Göteborg4 out

Adam Bergmark WibergOutConcussion
Arbnor MucolliOutCruciate Ligament Injury
August ErlingmarkOutFoot Injury
Ramon Pascal LundqvistOutIllness

XI used for this forecast (expected, 17 Sept 2026, 07:20 UTC)

Expected XI

The expected elevens the model used at the freeze. SofaScore's confirmed XI is below for comparison.

IF Brommapojkarna

IFK Göteborg

Confirmed XIConfirmed6 changes from the expected XI

SofaScore's posted elevens. Marked players differ from the expected XI above; the forecast numbers were frozen before this XI was known and are not rewritten.

IF Brommapojkarna

4-4-2

IFK Göteborg

4-2-3-1

Last five league matches

Finished games strictly before this forecast's cutoff, with xG for and against.

IF Brommapojkarna

LWLWW

13Hammarby IFAway · 13 Sept 2026
xG 1.00–2.02
21IF ElfsborgHome · 6 Sept 2026
xG 1.51–0.98
04GAISAway · 31 Aug 2026
xG 1.13–2.99
20Degerfors IFHome · 23 Aug 2026
xG 2.05–1.08
31Örgryte ISHome · 16 Aug 2026
xG 3.40–1.29

IFK Göteborg

WWWDL

21Halmstads BKHome · 12 Sept 2026
xG 1.76–1.42
41Mjällby AIFAway · 7 Sept 2026
xG 1.94–0.92
10Örgryte ISHome · 30 Aug 2026
xG 1.86–0.81
11IF ElfsborgHome · 23 Aug 2026
xG 2.36–1.54
03Degerfors IFAway · 16 Aug 2026
xG 1.13–1.70

How to read the IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg probabilities

IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg (Allsvenskan, 19 Sept 2026): Slight lean. IFK Göteborg win 43%. Expected goals are 1.37–1.60. Prediction 1–2 (9%), the score published with the 1X2 pick. Grid peak is 1–1 at 11%. The score grid leans over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. Final score: 0–1.

IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Göteborg are close on expected goals (1.37–1.60), so the 1X2 split is not a one-sided match.

The published prediction is 1–2 at 9%, the most likely scoreline that still agrees with the 1X2 pick. The grid peak is 1–1 at 11%. Nearby cells share the rest of the probability, which is normal in football.

Over 2.5 sits at 57%, so the model expects an open game more often than not. Both-teams-to-score is 59%.

Expected90 publishes probabilistic football forecasts based on statistical models. Predictions are not certainties.

Model record

Prediction timestamp: 17 Sept 2026, 07:20 UTC
After kick-off: Not rewritten
Model version: as-v1.1.0-elo
Verdict: Slight lean · IFK Göteborg win
Kick-off: Sat 19 Sept, 14:00 Lisbon

Methodology

Questions about IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg

Who is favourite for IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg?: The verdict is Slight lean. Highest 1X2 is IFK Göteborg win at 43%. Home 33%, draw 24%, away 43%. That is a share of similar matches, not a guaranteed result.
What is the most likely score for IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg?: 1–2 is the published prediction at 9%, aligned with the 1X2 pick. The highest single cell is 1–1 at 11%. Other nearby scores still take a large slice of the grid.
Will IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg go over 2.5 goals?: Over 2.5 is 57% from the same Poisson grid as 1X2. The model leans over 2.5, but the other side remains live.
Both teams to score in IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg?: BTTS is 59%. The grid leans toward both teams scoring.
Are these betting tips?: No. Expected90 publishes model probabilities and tracks them after kick-off. Fair odds on a match page are 1 / probability compared with a listed book snapshot. Disagreement labels are gated by walk-forward 1X2 ECE. That is not a tip, and there is no odds CTA.