Skip to main content
E90

Allsvenskan · Round 22 · 2026/27

IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg prediction

Slight lean

IFK Göteborg win 43%

· Grimsta IP

Published · not rewritten after kick-off

Match forecast

IF BrommapojkarnavsIFK Göteborg
Slight lean

IFK Göteborg win43%

IF Brommapojkarna win
33%
Draw
24%
IFK Göteborg win
43%
Prediction
1–2

With the 1X2 pick · 9%

Grid peak 1–1 at 11%

Expected goals
1.37–1.60

Model λ, home–away

Over 2.5
57%
BTTS
59%

Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score are summed from the same scoreline matrix as 1X2. They are not separate guesses.

Why this forecast

  1. 1Slight lean: IFK Göteborg win 43%, from a -72 Elo gap (1467 vs 1539).
  2. 2Expected goals 1.37-1.60.
  3. 3Prediction 1–2 (9%), the score published with the 1X2 pick. Grid peak is 1–1 at 11%.
  4. 4Oliver Berg listed out and 4 other absences.

Match briefing

Elo

1467

-72

1539

Allsvenskan table
Out

IF Brommapojkarna1 out

  • Oliver Berg

IFK Göteborg4 out

  • Adam Bergmark Wiberg
  • Arbnor Mucolli
  • August Erlingmark
  • +1 more
XI
Predicted XI
3-4-2-1/4-3-3
Last 5

IF Brommapojkarna

LWLWW

Avg xG 2.02-1.59

IFK Göteborg

WWWDL

Avg xG 1.78-1.35

Top scorelines

Share of the same grid. Longer bar is more likely.

  1. 111Modal11.1%
  2. 212Prediction9.0%
  3. 3018.4%
  4. 4217.7%
  5. 5107.2%

Score grid

Home goals down the side, away across. Lime is more likely. The solid ring is the grid peak; the dashed ring is the prediction 1–2, published with the 1X2 pick.

Scoreline probabilities for IF Brommapojkarna versus IFK Göteborg
IF Brommapojkarna goals012345
05%8%7%4%
17%11%9%5%
25%8%6%3%
32%4%3%
4
5

Away goals 0-5 across the top. Cells are a share of every possible score, not just this crop.

Fair odds

Model prices are 1 / probability. A listed 1X2 snapshot, overround removed. Snapshot . This is not a betting tip.

1X2

IF Brommapojkarna win

IF Brommapojkarna win: model 33%, fair 3.04, listed 2.96 (32%)

Fair

3.04

33% model

Listed

2.96

32% book

Draw

Draw: model 24%, fair 4.19, listed 3.57 (26%)

Fair

4.19

24% model

Listed

3.57

26% book

IFK Göteborg win

IFK Göteborg win: model 43%, fair 2.31, listed 2.21 (42%)

Fair

2.31

43% model

Listed

2.21

42% book

The model does not disagree with this price beyond calibration noise.

Over 2.5 and BTTS use the same conversion. Disagreement labels apply to 1X2 only, where walk-forward ECE is scored.

Over 2.5

Over 2.5

Over 2.5: model 57%, fair 1.75, listed 1.68 (58%)

Fair
1.75
Listed
1.68

Under 2.5

Under 2.5: model 43%, fair 2.33, listed 2.35 (42%)

Fair
2.33
Listed
2.35

BTTS

BTTS yes

BTTS yes: model 59%, fair 1.68, listed 1.52 (61%)

Fair
1.68
Listed
1.52

BTTS no

BTTS no: model 41%, fair 2.46, listed 2.38 (39%)

Fair
2.46
Listed
2.38

Injuries and suspensions

SofaScore missing list for this fixture. Doubtful players are listed separately from those ruled out.

IF Brommapojkarna1 out

  • Oliver BergOutUnknown

IFK Göteborg4 out

  • Adam Bergmark WibergOutMuscle Injury
  • Arbnor MucolliOutCruciate Ligament Injury
  • August ErlingmarkOutFoot Injury
  • Ramon Pascal LundqvistOutIllness

Starting XI

Predicted XI

Listed as the expected eleven; not confirmed yet.

IF Brommapojkarna

3-4-2-1

  1. 1 Leo Cavallius · G
  2. 2 Pavle Vagić · D
  3. 3 Andreas Troelsen · D
  4. 4 Oskar Cotton · D
  5. 6 Oliver Zandén · D
  6. 9 Mads Hansen · M
  7. 11 Rasmus Örqvist · M
  8. 20 Wilmer Odefalk · M
  9. 21 Simon Strand · M
  10. 27 Kaare Barslund · M
  11. 17 Anton Kurochkin · F

IFK Göteborg

4-3-3

  1. 12 Viktor Andersson · G
  2. 5 Jonas Bager · D
  3. 6 Hjörtur Hermannsson · D
  4. 18 Felix Eriksson · D
  5. 22 Noah Tolf · D
  6. 8 Sam Larsson · M
  7. 14 Tobias Heintz · M
  8. 15 David Kruse · M
  9. 24 Oliver Månsson · M
  10. 7 Alexander Simmelhack · F
  11. 11 Nino Žugelj · F

Last five league matches

Finished games strictly before this forecast's cutoff, with xG for and against.

IF Brommapojkarna

LWLWW
  • 13Hammarby IFAway · 13 Sept 2026
  • 21IF ElfsborgHome · 6 Sept 2026

    xG 1.51–0.98

  • 04GAISAway · 31 Aug 2026

    xG 1.13–2.99

  • 20Degerfors IFHome · 23 Aug 2026

    xG 2.05–1.08

  • 31Örgryte ISHome · 16 Aug 2026

    xG 3.40–1.29

IFK Göteborg

WWWDL
  • 21Halmstads BKHome · 12 Sept 2026
  • 41Mjällby AIFAway · 7 Sept 2026
  • 10Örgryte ISHome · 30 Aug 2026

    xG 1.86–0.81

  • 11IF ElfsborgHome · 23 Aug 2026

    xG 2.36–1.54

  • 03Degerfors IFAway · 16 Aug 2026

    xG 1.13–1.70

How to read the IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg probabilities

IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg (Allsvenskan, 19 Sept 2026): Slight lean. IFK Göteborg win 43%. Expected goals are 1.37–1.60. Prediction 1–2 (9%), the score published with the 1X2 pick. Grid peak is 1–1 at 11%. The score grid leans over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Göteborg are close on expected goals (1.37–1.60), so the 1X2 split is not a one-sided match.

The published prediction is 1–2 at 9%, the most likely scoreline that still agrees with the 1X2 pick. The grid peak is 1–1 at 11%. Nearby cells share the rest of the probability, which is normal in football.

Over 2.5 sits at 57%, so the model expects an open game more often than not. Both-teams-to-score is 59%.

Expected90 publishes probabilistic football forecasts based on statistical models. Predictions are not certainties.

Model record

Prediction timestamp
14 Sept 2026, 17:11 UTC
After kick-off
Not rewritten
Model version
as-v1.1.0-elo
Verdict
Slight lean · IFK Göteborg win
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sept, 14:00 Lisbon
Methodology

Questions about IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg

Who is favourite for IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg?
The verdict is Slight lean. Highest 1X2 is IFK Göteborg win at 43%. Home 33%, draw 24%, away 43%. That is a share of similar matches, not a guaranteed result.
What is the most likely score for IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg?
1–2 is the published prediction at 9%, aligned with the 1X2 pick. The highest single cell is 1–1 at 11%. Other nearby scores still take a large slice of the grid.
Will IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg go over 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 57% from the same Poisson grid as 1X2. The model leans over 2.5, but the other side remains live.
Both teams to score in IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Göteborg?
BTTS is 59%. The grid leans toward both teams scoring.
Are these betting tips?
No. Expected90 publishes model probabilities and tracks them after kick-off. Fair odds on a match page are 1 / probability compared with a listed book snapshot. Disagreement labels are gated by walk-forward 1X2 ECE. That is not a tip, and there is no odds CTA.

Related predictions

All Allsvenskan predictions