Who is favourite for Hull City vs Ipswich Town?

The verdict is Slight lean. Highest 1X2 is Hull City win at 40%. Home 40%, draw 30%, away 30%. That is a share of similar matches, not a guaranteed result.

What is the most likely score for Hull City vs Ipswich Town?

1–1 is the prediction and the modal cell at 14%. Other nearby scores still take a large slice of the probability, which is normal in football.

Will Hull City vs Ipswich Town go over 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 52% from the same Poisson grid as 1X2. The model leans over 2.5, but the other side remains live.

Both teams to score in Hull City vs Ipswich Town?

BTTS is 58%. The grid leans toward both teams scoring.

Are these betting tips?

No. Expected90 publishes model probabilities and tracks them after kick-off. Fair odds on a match page are 1 / probability compared with a listed book snapshot. Disagreement labels are gated by walk-forward 1X2 ECE. That is not a tip, and there is no odds CTA.

Premier League · Round 9 · 2627.0

Hull City vs Ipswich Town prediction

Slight lean

Hull City win 40%

Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Lisbon

Published 25 Oct 2026, 13:27 UTC · not rewritten after kick-off

Hull CityvsIpswich Town

Slight lean

Hull City win40%

Hull City win: 40%
Draw: 30%
Ipswich Town win: 30%

Prediction: 1–1
Expected goals: 1.49–1.25
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 58%

Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score are summed from the same scoreline matrix as 1X2. They are not separate guesses.

Goal lines

Same grid · unders are 1 − over

1.5 goals: Over78%; Under22%
2.5 goals: Over52%; Under48%
3.5 goals: Over30%; Under70%

Why this forecast

1Slight lean: Hull City win 40%, from a +31 Elo gap (1421 vs 1390).
2Expected goals 1.49-1.25.
3Prediction 1–1 (14%), also the highest cell in the grid.

Match briefing

Elo: 1421
+31
1390
Premier League table
Out: None listed
XI: Expected XI
Formation not posted
Last 5: Hull City
LDLDD
Avg xG 0.96-1.46
Ipswich Town
LWLWL
Avg xG 1.31-1.79

Top scorelines

Share of the same grid. Longer bar is more likely.

111Prediction14.3%
2219.0%
3008.7%
4127.5%
5107.2%

Score grid

Home goals down the side, away across. Lime is more likely. The solid ring is the grid peak.

Scoreline probabilities for Hull City versus Ipswich Town
Hull City goals	0	1	2	3
0	9%	6%	5%	2%
1	7%	14%	8%	3%
2	7%	9%	6%	2%
3	4%	4%	3%
4
5

Away goals 0-5 across the top. Cells are a share of every possible score, not just this crop.

Fair odds

Model prices are 1 / probability. Listed prices are one OddsPortal pre-kick-off 1X2 listing, vig removed. Snapshot 22 Oct 2026, 06:56 UTC. This is not a betting tip.

1X2

Hull City win

Fair

2.47

40% model

Listed

2.62

37% book

Draw

Fair

3.34

30% model

Listed

3.55

27% book

Ipswich Town win

Fair

3.38

30% model

Listed

2.75

35% book

Pre-kick-off 1X2 · OddsPortal listing · single source · vig removed · captured 9 days before kick-off

The model does not disagree with this price beyond calibration noise.

18+. Probabilities are not betting advice. If gambling stops being fun: begambleaware.org · jogoresponsavel.pt · stodlinjen.se · joueurs-info-service.fr

XI used for this forecast (expected, 25 Oct 2026, 13:27 UTC)

Expected XI

The expected elevens the model used at the freeze. Confirmed lineups were not part of this forecast.

Hull City

Ipswich Town

Last five league matches

Finished games strictly before this forecast's cutoff, with xG for and against.

Hull City

LDLDD

01FulhamAway · 17 Oct 2026
xG 0.16–1.38
22EvertonHome · 11 Oct 2026
xG 1.33–1.68
12Newcastle UnitedAway · 19 Sept 2026
xG 1.24–1.43
22ChelseaAway · 12 Sept 2026
xG 1.49–0.89
00Aston VillaHome · 5 Sept 2026
xG 0.57–1.93

Ipswich Town

LWLWL

23Manchester CityAway · 17 Oct 2026
xG 1.66–3.53
21FulhamHome · 10 Oct 2026
xG 1.15–1.81
01EvertonAway · 19 Sept 2026
xG 1.30–2.31
32Crystal PalaceAway · 12 Sept 2026
xG 1.67–0.62
02Liverpool FCHome · 4 Sept 2026
xG 0.75–0.69

How to read the Hull City vs Ipswich Town probabilities

Hull City vs Ipswich Town (Premier League, 31 Oct 2026): Slight lean. Hull City win 40%. Expected goals are 1.49–1.25. Prediction 1–1 (14%), also the highest cell in the grid. The score grid leans over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

Hull City and Ipswich Town are close on expected goals (1.49–1.25), so the 1X2 split is not a one-sided match.

The prediction 1–1 carries 14%. In football that is a typical peak: many nearby scorelines share the rest of the grid.

Over 2.5 is 52%, close to a coin flip from this score matrix. Both-teams-to-score is 58%.

Expected90 publishes probabilistic football forecasts based on statistical models. Predictions are not certainties.

Model record

Prediction timestamp: 25 Oct 2026, 13:27 UTC
After kick-off: Not rewritten
Model version: pl-v1.1.0-elo
Verdict: Slight lean · Hull City win
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Lisbon

Methodology

Questions about Hull City vs Ipswich Town

Who is favourite for Hull City vs Ipswich Town?: The verdict is Slight lean. Highest 1X2 is Hull City win at 40%. Home 40%, draw 30%, away 30%. That is a share of similar matches, not a guaranteed result.
What is the most likely score for Hull City vs Ipswich Town?: 1–1 is the prediction and the modal cell at 14%. Other nearby scores still take a large slice of the probability, which is normal in football.
Will Hull City vs Ipswich Town go over 2.5 goals?: Over 2.5 is 52% from the same Poisson grid as 1X2. The model leans over 2.5, but the other side remains live.
Both teams to score in Hull City vs Ipswich Town?: BTTS is 58%. The grid leans toward both teams scoring.
Are these betting tips?: No. Expected90 publishes model probabilities and tracks them after kick-off. Fair odds on a match page are 1 / probability compared with a listed book snapshot. Disagreement labels are gated by walk-forward 1X2 ECE. That is not a tip, and there is no odds CTA.