Liga Portugal · Round 2 · 2026/27
Académico Viseu FC vs Santa Clara Prediction
· Estádio Municipal do Fontelo · Académico Viseu FC predictions · Santa Clara predictions
Published · not rewritten after kick-off
Académico Viseu FC
0–1
Santa Clara won
Santa Clara
1X2
Académico Viseu FC win
35%Miss
Verdict
Balanced
Modal 1-1 · score miss
- 1X2 favourite Miss
Predicted Académico Viseu FC win · 35%
Actual Santa Clara won
- Modal score Miss
Predicted 1-1
Actual 0–1
- Over 2.5 Hit
Predicted Under
Actual Under · 1 goals
- BTTS Hit
Predicted No
Actual No
Hit means the pre-match favourite (or the Over 2.5 / BTTS lean at 50%+) matched the result. The numbers above were stored before kick-off and are not edited afterwards.
Win probabilities
Balanced
Académico Viseu FC win 35%
- Académico Viseu FC win
- 35%
- Draw
- 33%
- Santa Clara win
- 32%
- Académico Viseu FC win %
- 35%
- Draw %
- 33%
- Santa Clara win %
- 32%
Predicted
Result
Why this forecast
- 1Balanced: Académico Viseu FC win 35%, from a -33 Elo gap (1437 vs 1470).
- 2Expected goals 1.19-1.13.
- 3Modal score 1-1 at 16%, the highest cell in the grid.
- Elo
1437 -33 1470
Académico Viseu FC vs Santa Clara
Liga Portugal table- Out
None listed
- XI
Confirmed
4-2-3-1 / 4-2-3-1
- Last 5
Académico Viseu FCD1.07-3.44 xG
Santa ClaraD L W D W1.58-0.84 xG
Modal score
1-1
Highest cell in the score grid · 16% · Miss
Verdict
Balanced
Académico Viseu FC win · 35% · Miss
Expected goals
1.19–1.13
Model λ for home and away
Score grid
Home goals down the side, away across. Lime is more likely. The modal cell is the peak.
| Académico Viseu FC goals | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12% | 9% | 6% | 2% | ||
| 1 | 9% | 15% | 7% | 3% | ||
| 2 | 7% | 8% | 4% | |||
| 3 | 3% | 3% | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Away goals 0-5 across the top. Cells are a share of every possible score, not just this crop.
Markets from the score grid
- Over 2.5 %
- 41%
- BTTS %
- 50%
Under · 1 goals · Hit
No · Hit
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score are summed from the same scoreline matrix as 1X2. They are not separate guesses.
Top scorelines
- 1-1Modal15.5%
- 0-012.0%
- 1-09.3%
- 0-1Result8.8%
- 2-17.9%
Starting XI
ConfirmedSofaScore has confirmed both starting elevens.
AVAcadémico Viseu FC crestAcadémico Viseu FC4-2-3-1
- 98EwertonG
- 41Anthony CorreiaD
- 44Rúben PereiraD
- 66Igor MilioransaD
- 75RobinhoD
- 8Cihan KahramanM
- 10Álvaro ZamoraM
- 14Soufiane MesseguemM
- 31João GuilhermeM
- 45Alejandro MestanzaM
- 33André ClóvisF
SCSanta Clara crestSanta Clara4-2-3-1
- 1Lucas FrançaG
- 2Diogo CalilaD
- 4Pedro PachecoD
- 5Guilherme RomãoD
- 21Emanuel FernandesD
- 6Pedro FerreiraM
- 8José TavaresM
- 41Daniel BorgesM
- 70Vinícius LopesM
- 99SorrisoM
- 9Gonçalo PaciênciaF
Last five league matches
Finished games strictly before this forecast's cutoff, with xG for and against.
AVAcadémico Viseu FC crestAcadémico Viseu FCD
- A · Benfica · 9 Aug 20262-21.07-3.44 xG
SCSanta Clara crestSanta ClaraD L W D W
- H · CD Nacional · 10 Aug 20262-21.43-1.23 xG
- A · FC Porto · 16 May 20260-10.50-0.91 xG
- H · CD Nacional · 11 May 20262-01.53-0.92 xG
- A · FC Arouca · 2 May 20262-21.61-0.96 xG
- H · Sporting Braga · 26 Apr 20262-12.84-0.17 xG
How to read the Académico Viseu FC vs Santa Clara probabilities
Académico Viseu FC vs Santa Clara (Liga Portugal, 15 Aug 2026): Balanced — Académico Viseu FC win 35%. Expected goals are 1.19–1.13. Modal score 1-1 (16%). The score grid leans under 2.5 goals and at least one side keeping a clean sheet. Final score: 0–1.
Académico Viseu FC and Santa Clara are close on expected goals (1.19–1.13), so the 1X2 split is not a one-sided match.
The modal score 1-1 carries 16%. In football that is a typical peak: many nearby scorelines share the rest of the grid.
Over 2.5 is only 41%. The grid is tilted toward fewer than three goals. BTTS is 50%, near even.
Expected90 publishes probabilistic football forecasts based on statistical models. Predictions are not certainties.
Model record
- Prediction timestamp
- 14 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC
- After kick-off
- Not rewritten
- Model version
- v1.1.0-p1-elo
- Verdict
- Balanced · Académico Viseu FC win
- Kick-off
- Sat 15 Aug, 18:00 Lisbon
Questions about Académico Viseu FC vs Santa Clara
Who is favourite for Académico Viseu FC vs Santa Clara?
The verdict is Balanced. Highest 1X2 is Académico Viseu FC win at 35%. Home 35%, draw 33%, away 32%. That is a share of similar matches, not a guaranteed result.
What is the most likely score for Académico Viseu FC vs Santa Clara?
1-1 is the modal scoreline at 16% — the highest cell in the score grid. Other nearby scores still take a large slice of the probability, which is normal in football.
Will Académico Viseu FC vs Santa Clara go over 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 41% from the same Poisson grid as 1X2. The model leans under 2.5, but the other side remains live.
Both teams to score in Académico Viseu FC vs Santa Clara?
BTTS is 50%. The grid leans toward at least one blank.
Are these betting tips?
No. Expected90 publishes model probabilities and tracks them after kick-off. It does not sell tips, odds, or guaranteed outcomes.
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