Skip to main content
E90

Premier League · Round 2 · 2026/27

Coventry City vs Hull City Prediction

· Coventry Building Society Arena · Coventry City predictions · Hull City predictions

Published · not rewritten after kick-off

Full timeRound 2 · 2/4 checks hit
CCCoventry City crest

Coventry City

0–1

Hull City won

HCHull City crest

Hull City

1X2

Coventry City win

39%Miss

Verdict

Slight lean

Modal 1-1 · score miss

1X2 favourite
Miss

Predicted Coventry City win · 39%

Actual Hull City won

Modal score
Miss

Predicted 1-1

Actual 0–1

Over 2.5
Hit

Predicted Under

Actual Under · 1 goals

BTTS
Hit

Predicted No

Actual No

Hit means the pre-match favourite (or the Over 2.5 / BTTS lean at 50%+) matched the result. The numbers above were stored before kick-off and are not edited afterwards.

CCCoventry City crestCoventry CityvsHCHull City crestHull City

Win probabilities

Slight lean

Coventry City win 39%

Coventry City win
39%
Draw
32%
Hull City win
29%
Coventry City win %
39%

Predicted

Draw %
32%
Hull City win %
29%

Result

Why this forecast

  1. 1Slight lean: Coventry City win 39%, from a +16 Elo gap (1428 vs 1412).
  2. 2Expected goals 1.27-1.05.
  3. 3Modal score 1-1 at 15%, the highest cell in the grid.
  4. 4Haji Wright listed out and 8 other absences.
Elo

1428 +16 1412

Coventry City vs Hull City

Premier League table
Out
  • Haji Wright · Coventry City
  • Kaine Kesler-Hayden · Coventry City
  • Charlie Hughes · Hull City
  • Darko Gyabi · Hull City
XI

Predicted XI

4-2-3-1 / 4-2-3-1

Last 5

Coventry CityL0.20-1.88 xG

Hull CityW L L L D0.20-0.37 xG

Modal score

1-1

Highest cell in the score grid · 15% · Miss

Verdict

Slight lean

Coventry City win · 39% · Miss

Expected goals

1.27–1.05

Model λ for home and away

Score grid

Home goals down the side, away across. Lime is more likely. The modal cell is the peak.

Scoreline probabilities for Coventry City versus Hull City
Coventry City goals012345
012%8%5%
110%15%7%2%
28%8%4%
33%4%
4
5

Away goals 0-5 across the top. Cells are a share of every possible score, not just this crop.

Markets from the score grid

Over 2.5 %
41%

Under · 1 goals · Hit

BTTS %
49%

No · Hit

Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score are summed from the same scoreline matrix as 1X2. They are not separate guesses.

Top scorelines

  1. 1-1Modal15.3%
  2. 0-012.0%
  3. 1-010.2%
  4. 2-18.3%
  5. 0-1Result8.1%

Injuries and suspensions

SofaScore missing list for this fixture. Doubtful players are listed separately from those ruled out.

CCCoventry City crestCoventry City

Out

  • Haji Wright · F · Muscle Injury
  • Kaine Kesler-Hayden · D · Hamstring Injury
  • Luke Woolfenden · D · Knee Injury

Doubtful

  • Ephron Mason-Clark · M · Hamstring Injury

HCHull City crestHull City

Out

  • Charlie Hughes · D · Groin Injury
  • Darko Gyabi · M · Groin Injury
  • Jack Butland · G · Elbow Injury
  • Joe Gelhardt · M · Ankle Injury
  • Matty Jacob · D · Hip Injury
  • Óscar Zambrano · M · Hamstring Injury

Starting XI

Predicted XI

Listed as the expected eleven; not confirmed yet.

CCCoventry City crestCoventry City4-2-3-1

  1. 19Carl RushworthG
  2. 3Jay DaSilvaD
  3. 4Bobby ThomasD
  4. 24Aurèle AmendaD
  5. 27Milan van EwijkD
  6. 5Jack RudoniM
  7. 6Matt GrimesM
  8. 8Caleb YirenkyiM
  9. 38Gustavo HamerM
  10. 14Taiwo AwoniyiF
  11. 18Loum TchaounaF

HCHull City crestHull City4-2-3-1

  1. 19Konstantinos TzolakisG
  2. 2Lewie CoyleD
  3. 3Ryan GilesD
  4. 15John EganD
  5. 32Nobel MendyD
  6. 10Mohamed BelloumiM
  7. 14Jens Hjertø-DahlM
  8. 25Matt CrooksM
  9. 27Regan SlaterM
  10. 35Elliot StroudM
  11. 9Oli McBurnieF

Last five league matches

Finished games strictly before this forecast's cutoff, with xG for and against.

CCCoventry City crestCoventry CityL

  • A · Arsenal · 21 Aug 20260-30.20-1.88 xG

HCHull City crestHull CityW L L L D

  • H · Manchester United · 22 Aug 20262-01.01-1.83 xG
  • H · Tottenham Hotspur · 21 May 20171-70.00-0.00 xG
  • A · Crystal Palace · 14 May 20170-40.00-0.00 xG
  • H · Sunderland · 6 May 20170-20.00-0.00 xG
  • A · Southampton · 29 Apr 20170-00.00-0.00 xG

How to read the Coventry City vs Hull City probabilities

Coventry City vs Hull City (Premier League, 29 Aug 2026): Slight lean — Coventry City win 39%. Expected goals are 1.27–1.05. Modal score 1-1 (15%). The score grid leans under 2.5 goals and at least one side keeping a clean sheet. Final score: 0–1.

Coventry City and Hull City are close on expected goals (1.27–1.05), so the 1X2 split is not a one-sided match.

The modal score 1-1 carries 15%. In football that is a typical peak: many nearby scorelines share the rest of the grid.

Over 2.5 is only 41%. The grid is tilted toward fewer than three goals. BTTS is 49%, near even.

Expected90 publishes probabilistic football forecasts based on statistical models. Predictions are not certainties.

Model record

Prediction timestamp
27 Aug 2026, 09:23 UTC
After kick-off
Not rewritten
Model version
pl-v1.1.0-elo
Verdict
Slight lean · Coventry City win
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug, 15:00 Lisbon
Methodology

Questions about Coventry City vs Hull City

Who is favourite for Coventry City vs Hull City?

The verdict is Slight lean. Highest 1X2 is Coventry City win at 39%. Home 39%, draw 32%, away 29%. That is a share of similar matches, not a guaranteed result.

What is the most likely score for Coventry City vs Hull City?

1-1 is the modal scoreline at 15% — the highest cell in the score grid. Other nearby scores still take a large slice of the probability, which is normal in football.

Will Coventry City vs Hull City go over 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 41% from the same Poisson grid as 1X2. The model leans under 2.5, but the other side remains live.

Both teams to score in Coventry City vs Hull City?

BTTS is 49%. The grid leans toward at least one blank.

Are these betting tips?

No. Expected90 publishes model probabilities and tracks them after kick-off. It does not sell tips, odds, or guaranteed outcomes.

Related predictions

All Premier League predictions