Comparison

Expected90 vs FootyStats

Football, expressed as probabilities. FootyStats is Stats database with tables for BTTS, over/under and form. Useful as a research tool; it is not a published match-probability model with a scored ledger.

Primary output

Expected90: Calibrated-style probabilities + xG
FootyStats: Football statistics across leagues

Betting CTAs

Expected90: None in V1
FootyStats: Freemium stats site

Live leagues

Expected90: Liga Portugal, La Liga, and Premier League
FootyStats: Stats database with tables for BTTS, over/under and form. Useful as a research tool; it is not a published match-probability model with a scored ledger.

Tracked results

Expected90: Published, including noisy rounds
FootyStats: xG quality varies by league

Best for

Expected90: Readers who want probabilities, not tips
FootyStats: Building your own spreadsheet

	Expected90	FootyStats
Primary output	Calibrated-style probabilities + xG	Football statistics across leagues
Betting CTAs	None in V1	Freemium stats site
Live leagues	Liga Portugal, La Liga, and Premier League	Stats database with tables for BTTS, over/under and form. Useful as a research tool; it is not a published match-probability model with a scored ledger.
Tracked results	Published, including noisy rounds	xG quality varies by league
Best for	Readers who want probabilities, not tips	Building your own spreadsheet

Expected90 is better if

Readers who want probabilities, not tips
Match pages with documented models as leagues come online
People who will check last week’s forecasts

FootyStats is better if

Building your own spreadsheet
Minor-league rate shopping

We are not claiming a higher win rate than FootyStats. We are claiming a different product: fewer leagues, more explanation, and a public record.

Open predictions

Expected90 vs FootyStats questions

Should I switch from FootyStats to Expected90?

Switch if you want a calm probability page per match and a public miss rate. Live now: Liga Portugal, La Liga, and Premier League. Stay on FootyStats if you need building your own spreadsheet.

Does Expected90 cover as many leagues as FootyStats?

Not yet. FootyStats is built for breadth. Expected90 publishes Liga Portugal, La Liga, and Premier League today, with timestamps and a scored ledger, and only adds a league when the model is frozen. More competitions are in development.

Is Expected90 a FootyStats clone?

No. FootyStats stats database with tables for BTTS, over/under and form. Useful as a research tool; it is not a published match-probability model with a scored ledger. Expected90 publishes probabilities, not tips.