Does Expected90 cover as many leagues as FootyStats?

FootyStats’ database is wider, including divisions without a frozen Expected90 model. We do not try to match that catalogue. We add a league when the official model is frozen.

Is Expected90 a FootyStats clone?

No. FootyStats is a statistics site. Expected90 is not a table dump of historical rates, and it is not a FootyStats reskin.

Expected90 vs FootyStats

FootyStats is a research database: league tables, BTTS rates, over/under frequencies, and form across many divisions, including smaller leagues. That is useful if you are building a spreadsheet. It is easy, though, to treat a historical table rate as tonight’s match probability. Expected90 publishes a fixture-specific forecast, frozen before kick-off, then scored.

FootyStats publishes at footystats.org. This page is a product comparison, not a scrape of their pages.

How the products differ

FootyStats answers “how often does this league go over 2.5?” Expected90 answers “what does this model assign to this match, at this timestamp, under this model version?” One is a catalogue of rates. The other is a ledger of forecasts.

A FootyStats BTTS table might show a club at 62% both-teams-to-score over a season sample. On Expected90, BTTS is the sum of scoreline cells where both sides score in this fixture’s grid, using current Elo and the frozen λ pair — not the club’s season-to-date rate pasted onto the next opponent.

Primary output

Expected90: Score-grid probabilities + xG means
FootyStats: Stats database with tables for BTTS, over/under and form. Useful as a research tool; it is not a published match-probability model with a scored ledger.

Betting CTAs

Expected90: None in V1
FootyStats: Freemium stats site

Coverage

Expected90: Liga Portugal, La Liga, Premier League, Allsvenskan, Ligue 1, and Serie A
FootyStats: Analysts collecting rates and tables, including smaller leagues.

Tracked results

Expected90: Public scored ledger, including misses
FootyStats: xG quality varies by league

Best for

Expected90: Readers who want probabilities, not tips
FootyStats: Building your own spreadsheet

	Expected90	FootyStats
Primary output	Score-grid probabilities + xG means	Stats database with tables for BTTS, over/under and form. Useful as a research tool; it is not a published match-probability model with a scored ledger.
Betting CTAs	None in V1	Freemium stats site
Coverage	Liga Portugal, La Liga, Premier League, Allsvenskan, Ligue 1, and Serie A	Analysts collecting rates and tables, including smaller leagues.
Tracked results	Public scored ledger, including misses	xG quality varies by league
Best for	Readers who want probabilities, not tips	Building your own spreadsheet

Expected90 is better if

You want tonight’s λ pair for this opponent, not a season BTTS rate pasted forward
You want the miss to stay on the URL after the whistle
You are done collecting tables and want one auditable forecast page

FootyStats is better if

Building your own spreadsheet
Minor-league rate shopping

When to use FootyStats

Stay on FootyStats to collect rates, scrape tables, or research minor leagues we do not cover. Use Expected90 when you want one auditable forecast page for a live-league match.

We are not claiming a richer stats warehouse than FootyStats. We are claiming a different job: publish a forecast, freeze it, and keep the miss.

Open predictions

Expected90 vs FootyStats questions

Should I switch from FootyStats to Expected90?: Stay on FootyStats to collect rates, scrape tables, or research minor leagues we do not cover. Use Expected90 when you want one auditable forecast page for a live-league match.
Does Expected90 cover as many leagues as FootyStats?: FootyStats’ database is wider, including divisions without a frozen Expected90 model. We do not try to match that catalogue. We add a league when the official model is frozen.
Is Expected90 a FootyStats clone?: No. FootyStats is a statistics site. Expected90 is not a table dump of historical rates, and it is not a FootyStats reskin.