Liga Portugal · Round 4 · 2026/27

Académico Viseu FC vs FC Porto Prediction

Sat 29 Aug, 18:00 Lisbon · Estádio Municipal do Fontelo · Académico Viseu FC predictions · FC Porto predictions

Published 26 Aug 2026, 12:24 UTC · not rewritten after kick-off

Full timeRound 4 · 3/4 checks hit

Académico Viseu FC

0–3

FC Porto won

FC Porto

Prediction

0-2

Favourite FC Porto win · 73%

Game pick

FC Porto win

Strong · 73%Hit

1X2 favourite

Hit

Predicted FC Porto win · 73%

Actual FC Porto won

Most likely score

Miss

Predicted 0-2

Actual 0–3

Over 2.5

Hit

Predicted Over

Actual Over · 3 goals

BTTS

Hit

Predicted No

Actual No

Hit means the pre-match favourite (or the Over 2.5 / BTTS lean at 50%+) matched the result. The numbers above were stored before kick-off and are not edited afterwards.

Académico Viseu FCvsP

FC Porto

Win probabilities

Académico Viseu FC win: 8%
Draw: 19%
FC Porto win: 73%

Académico Viseu FC win %: 8%
Draw %: 19%
FC Porto win %: 73%

FC Porto's 73% away win tracks a -366 Elo gap (1429 vs 1795) and 0.69-2.33 expected goals, with Oskar Pietuszewski listed out and 2 other absences.

Elo

1429 -366 1795

Académico Viseu FC vs FC Porto

Liga Portugal table

Out

Oskar Pietuszewski · FC Porto
Samu Aghehowa · FC Porto

Predicted XI

4-1-2-3 / 4-1-2-3

Last 5

Académico Viseu FCD L D1.16-2.00 xG

FC PortoW W W W L2.32-0.83 xG

Predicted score

0-2

Most likely scoreline · 13% · Miss

Game pick

FC Porto win

Strong · 73% · Hit

Expected goals

0.69–2.33

Model λ for home and away

Markets from the score grid

Over 2.5 %: 58%
BTTS %: 46%

Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score are summed from the same scoreline matrix as 1X2. They are not separate guesses.

Most likely scorelines

0-213.3%
0-3Result10.3%
0-110.0%
1-19.2%
1-29.1%

Injuries and suspensions

SofaScore missing list for this fixture. Doubtful players are listed separately from those ruled out.

AVAcadémico Viseu FC crestAcadémico Viseu FC

No listed absences.

PFC Porto crestFC Porto

Out

Oskar Pietuszewski · F · Unknown
Samu Aghehowa · F · Cruciate Ligament Injury
Seko Fofana · M · Calf Injury

Starting XI

Predicted XI

Listed as the expected eleven; not confirmed yet.

AVAcadémico Viseu FC crestAcadémico Viseu FC4-1-2-3

98EwertonG
2Nikolaos MichelisD
5Pedro BarcelosD
41Anthony CorreiaD
75RobinhoD
6André CeitilM
8Cihan KahramanM
14Soufiane MesseguemM
31João GuilhermeM
33André ClóvisF
47Lorougnon GohiF

PFC Porto crestFC Porto4-1-2-3

99Diogo CostaG
4Jakub KiwiorD
5Jan BednarekD
12Zaidu SanusiD
20Alberto CostaD
8Victor FroholdtM
10Gabri VeigaM
13Pablo RosarioM
7William GomesF
11PepêF
19André SilvaF

Last five league matches

Finished games strictly before this forecast's cutoff, with xG for and against.

AVAcadémico Viseu FC crestAcadémico Viseu FCD L D

A · CS Marítimo · 22 Aug 20262-21.84-1.28 xG
H · Santa Clara · 15 Aug 20260-10.58-1.27 xG
A · Benfica · 9 Aug 20262-21.07-3.44 xG

PFC Porto crestFC PortoW W W W L

H · FC Arouca · 23 Aug 20262-02.92-0.54 xG
A · Rio Ave · 15 Aug 20262-01.97-0.58 xG
H · FC Alverca · 9 Aug 20262-02.59-1.66 xG
H · Santa Clara · 16 May 20261-00.91-0.50 xG
A · AVS - Futebol SAD · 10 May 20261-33.19-0.88 xG

How to read the Académico Viseu FC vs FC Porto probabilities

Académico Viseu FC vs FC Porto (Liga Portugal, 29 Aug 2026): the model gives FC Porto win 73%. Expected goals are 0.69–2.33. Most likely score 0-2 (13%). The score grid leans over 2.5 goals and at least one side keeping a clean sheet. Final score: 0–3.

FC Porto is clearly ahead on expected goals (0.69–2.33). FC Porto win is 73% — still a probability, not a certainty.

The modal score 0-2 carries 13%. In football that is a typical peak: many nearby scorelines share the rest of the grid.

Over 2.5 sits at 58%, so the model expects an open game more often than not. BTTS is 46%, near even.

Expected90 publishes probabilistic football forecasts based on statistical models. Predictions are not certainties.